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Since Sunday night, Federico Fico Gutierrez is the most steady presidential candidate in Colombia. It is not his first time appearing on an electoral card. He was previously a councilor and mayor in Medellin. His first attempt in national elections in which he got more than 2 million votes from the Team for Colombia coalition, saw him placed as a preferred candidate by conservative movements. Fico (Medellin, 47 years old) who is popularly known, is, since last night and at the moment is the primary adversary of Gustavo Petro, who with the Historic Pact movement was one of the winners of the election day that defined who would be the representative of the three major political forces.

The presidential campaign is only beginning and whether the former mayor of Medellin manages to be the most effective counterweight to the petrismo will be determined by the alliances and negotiations he forges from the moment on. He will have to not only unify the entire right but also conquer a small portion of the centre electorate that was disintegrated on Sunday. He must keep his distance from former President Alvaro Urbine, something he has not done in the past. Today, for the second time in 20 year, the open support of Uribism instead of adding could reduce. “Federico Gutierrez faces a dilemma. He is required to be a part of the Democratic Center, Uribe’s political party. But he also has to convince the center that it will decide where it would like to take the center,” Yann Basset (an analyst and professor at University of Rosario) says.

Fico’s first triumph was announced this Monday as it began to form an alliance with CD which is in which uribism can be concentrated. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga who was at one time a presidential candidate took a step back to admit that he has a few opportunities to compete with him. We now need to determine if the whole Uribismo collective that is without a representative, does the same. Uribe is likely to openly support his candidate and convince his electorate through his presentation of the issues that are part of the Colombian left. This shouldn’t be an issue for him. His speech of “security”, “order”, “opportunities” and “love of the country” has already shown him that he adds votes. Like he did during his time in Antioquia’s mayor’s office He confirmed it in the electoral consultation. On to Arauca which has been violently impacted, he stated that the bandits were either in jail or in graves. Fico understands well the Colombian legal system, but it is not enough.

“We are not in 2018, where the fear of the left worked well, this time the electorate is not moved by fear,” Basset points out. Analysts say that Fico might not get Uribe’s blessing because Alvaro Uribe has lost his leadership position since 2002 when Uribe was elected president. However, doesn’t mean that Uribismo’s votes, even if they fall below the table are not important to Gutierrez. In the case on Sunday or when he tried to get into Medellin’s Mayor’s Office, Uribe supported Gutierrez even while he was a candidate for his party. Uribism is also responsible for the victory in the coalition. Now his ability as a negotiator will be evaluated: to persuade the right, but not to spend all of his money on that alliance,” Basset warns. In relation to this alliance between the former president and Fico an analyst Andres Mejia Vergnaud says “the great difficulty of Federico Gutierrez is that he wants the votes of Uribismo but not the image of Uribe because it does not make sense for him to be his candidate”.

Gustavo Petro is the only leader from the left, but Gustavo Petro is the only one on the right. Fico, if he can reach a consensus, will convince him to offer his backing and then step aside. Rodolfo Hernández who was independent, is in contest. Gutierrez will be able to boast a list of accomplishments to include the ex-mayor of Bucaramanga who is a builder and millionaire.

Gutierrez has plenty to talk about before even considering names for his presidential strategy, but what he already has is the support of the other candidates who were vying to be the leader of the Team for Colombia coalition. It’s not much. There are by , Enrique Penalosa (Bogota) and Alex Char (Barranquilla); the leader of the Conservative party, David Barguil, and one woman named Aydee Lizarazo, of the Christian party, who normally votes judiciously as ordered at the lectern of his church.

In addition to the strengthened Conservative Party – it achieved the biggest vote of right-wing elements for Congress with more than two million votes – it also has the support of the U Party, which also had an outstanding election in the legislature, winning more than one million votes. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga backed Fico. did NOT just wait for the results of Sunday to announce his defeat. Alvaro Uribe (ex-President) summoned his party to a meeting on Monday to determine what the possibility is that Fico would risk his chances of getting into the center as a result of being publicly blessed by Uribe.